American Lion roars to victory in Illinois Derby

Horseracing Betting Lines

04/03/2010 - Stickney, IL (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - American Lion, ridden by David Flores, came from California and posted a wire-to-wire victory in Saturday's $500,000 Illinois Derby at Hawthorne Race Course. The three-year-old colt covered the 1 1/8-miles in 1:51.31 on a fast track.

Owned by WinStar Farm, American Lion quickly took the lead in the Kentucky Derby prep. Racing to the outside of the leader in second was 6-5 favorite Yawanna Twist. Boulder Creek was running in third with Turf Melody fourth in the eight-horse field.

American Lion continued to lead around the final turn even as Yawanna Twist and jockey Edgar Prado began to draw closer. Only a head separated the top two runners at the top of the stretch.

Flores was able to find his mount one more gear as Yawanna Twist made a final challenge for the lead. American Lion repelled the challenge and went on to post a 2 3/4-length win over Yawanna Twist.

Finishing third was Backtalk at 7-2 followed by Turf Melody, Dave in Dixie, Boulder Creek, Stephen's Got Hope and Game Ball.

Trained by Eoin Harty, American Lion picked up $291,000 with Saturday's victory, putting the colt in position for the Run for the Roses. The son of Tiznow has won three of six career starts with $413,600.

The Illinois Derby was the colt's first win of 2010. He was third to Caracortado in the Robert B.Lewis Stakes and fourth to Sidney's Candy in the San Felipe Stakes, both at Santa Anita. Sidney's Candy won Saturday's Santa Anita Derby.

In November, American Lion won the Hollywood Prevue at Hollywood Park.

American Lion returned $8.60, $3.80 and $2.80. Yawanna Twist paid $2.80 and $2.20, and Backtalk paid $3.00 to show.

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College Football Betting Tips From a Pro

While the NFL is the sport wagered on the heaviest, college football betting lines has become more and more popular as people realize it’s a game that can be beat. The NCAA football season gets longer each year with the addition of numerous bowl games and with that comes more opportunities for more money in your pocket, if handled correctly.

Betting on college football is not the same as with the NFL, so make sure you separate the two. Because of the vast number of teams, the parity between college football programs is slight and thus, you are going to see some high numbers in the NCAA. Teams favored by more than 40 points are not uncommon especially early in the season when teams playing their non-conference schedules.

The best advice when trying to tackle these enormous spreads and is to just stay away. A team that is favored by 40 points is favored by that many for a reason while teams getting 40 points are bad enough that they shouldn’t be touched. Set yourself a spread limit. Getting rid of these games will cut down on the number of contests that you need to handicap while staying away from backdoor or front-door covers.

What is a backdoor and front-door cover you ask? A backdoor cover is a team that is getting beat by more than the spread, but scores late to get within that number thus covering the spread. A front-door cover is just the opposite where the favorite scores late and covers the number they are favored by.

These front-door and backdoor covers are common when second and third string players enter games in college football and it can be the worst nightmare for some bettors. These players can also be your best friend, but ask any bettor and he will give you more instances on losing in this situation than winning. It just seems to work out that way even though everything evens out in the end.

College football betting has some of the softest lines of any sport and it’s being able to find these lines that will make you a successful college football handicapper. The NFL and NBA have the tightest lines around and while those sports can be beat by looking at situations and systems, college football doesn’t quite work that way. It’s much more manual, but when done correctly, it’s much more gratifying as well.

Getting into the nuts and bolts of college football means looking at the many stats in order to beat the number. As opposed to pro football, college football is less dependent on situations and angles and more on certain statistics. Rushing offense and defense, pass efficiency offense and defense and turnover margins are huge. These are vital in the NFL, but even more so when it comes to college football.

Being able to run the ball in college football has always been a key factor in the overall success of a team. The same adage also goes for teams who have the ability to stop the run. Putting these two factors together can produce some positive results in a team’s record both straight up and against the spread. These numbers show huge differences in teams and the spread may not take those into effect, which is where the value comes into play.

Passing yardage numbers both for and against can be a misinterpreted statistic. However, pass efficiency has always been one of the best ways to look at a teams’ passing game ability both offensively and defensively. But is it really a true indication of how they perform? I wouldn’t say so since they are raw passing numbers with nothing else taken into consideration.

I use pass efficiency ratings when doing my handicapping but I adjust my numbers based on a number of factors including power ratings, strength of schedules, personnel and injuries. This gives a much better picture of a team’s ability to pass effectively and also being able to defend the pass. Tweaking pass efficiency stats instead of raw passing yards is the key.

Turnovers are the single most frustrating, and at times the most gratifying, aspect of a college football lines, mostly because they are so unpredictable. They are part of the game and most of the time nothing can be done to control them. However, turnovers are contagious and they can carry over from game to game and season to season.

It’s important to know how to forecast these unforeseen events and how to use them to your advantage. You can find ways to give yourself an edge by looking at past histories of teams and coaches and how they have fared in turnover wars in the past. Instead of turnovers hurting you at the wrong times, find ways to use them to your advantage.

As you can see, college football handicapping is very labor intensive and isn’t just based on where teams are ranked in the AP and coaches polls. Experience, coaching and match-ups are all important since unlike the NFL, college teams turn over much more often with new personnel at most positions every single year. Keeping current on this information is vital.

Betting NCAA football can be lucrative if done correctly, but more importantly, it’s just plain enjoyable because it can be beat. College football is one of the best sports to watch with some of the best rivalries taking place in all of sports. The only downfall is that a championship isn’t decided on the field but on a computer-based system that is the Bowl Championship Series. That will change someday and we will all be better off for it.

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